The New York Times Ukraine-Russia News November 4, 2022 (via email)

by Carole Landry

Editor/Writer, Briefings Team (via email)


Welcome to the Russia-Ukraine War Briefing, your guide to the latest news and analysis about the conflict.

Russian recruits attended a ceremony in the Rostov region on Monday before leaving for Ukraine. Sergey Pivovarov/Reuters

Russian conscripts in combat

Russia is sending newly drafted troops to the front line in eastern Ukraine to try to push back Ukrainian forces, but the influx has not resulted in any Russian gains on the ground, according to military analysts.

President Vladimir Putin used a National Unity Day appearance today to announce that 318,000 soldiers had been recruited to join the Russian Army, with 49,000 of those already in combat.

The fighting in the eastern Donbas region has been particularly intense. Gen. Valeriy Zaluzhnyi, the commander of the Ukrainian military, said in a statement posted on Telegram yesterday that Russian forces were staging up to 80 assaults per day.

The scale of Russian losses in these battles is uncertain, but analysts say the number of casualties is high. The Institute for the Study of War, a research group based in Washington, said ill-prepared conscripts were being “impaled” during offensives in Donetsk. The Ukrainian military said today that more than 800 Russian soldiers had been wounded or killed over 24 hours.

In two counter-offensives in the northeast and the south, the Ukrainian military has reported step-by-step gains in cutting supply lines and damaging Russian ammunition and fuel depots.

In the south, Ukrainian troops are advancing toward Kherson, which fell to the Russians in the early weeks of the war. The Russian-appointed administration in the city has relocated to a site 50 miles away, but Russian troops have not decamped, according to residents and Ukrainian officials.

Ukrainian military intelligence says Russia has deployed about 40,000 soldiers to the area, including some elite troops such as airborne forces, to stop Ukrainian forces from reclaiming Kherson.

The remaining residents in Kherson are stocking up on food and fuel to survive.

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A Gazpromneft oil refinery in Moscow.Maxim Shipenkov/EPA, via Shutterstock

When sanctions begin to bite

The Biden administration boasts that the sanctions the United States and its allies have imposed on Russia are among the most sweeping penalties that have ever been enacted. But the sanctions have not been as devastating as Western officials had hoped — at least not yet.

The backbone of Russia’s economy — oil and gas exports — has remained largely intact. Still, analysts say Russia’s economy is facing more trouble in the months to come. A partial European embargo on Russian oil will go into effect on Dec. 5 and export controls on critical technology could affect Moscow’s ability to wage and finance a war.

The U.S. and its allies have also banned exports of semiconductors, computers, lasers and telecommunications equipment to Russia, which seems likely to have an impact on maintaining high-tech hardware on the battlefield.

“They’re using ancient types of tanks; they’re bringing those out of storage,” said Alexander Gabuev, a senior fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. “The data indicates that export controls are biting quite hard on the military.”

Russian officials are withholding important data, making it harder to gauge the true effect of the sanctions and export controls. The Times has an in-depth look at the sectors to watch.

What else we’re following

To provide comprehensive coverage of the war, we often link to outside sources. Some of these require a subscription.

In Ukraine

In Russia

  • U.S. officials met with the jailed American basketball star Brittney Griner yesterday. The White House said she was doing “as well as can be expected.”
  • Anatoly Karpov, the former chess champion and lawmaker, was injured in a fall outside the Parliament building in Moscow on Saturday.
  • Russia’s Parliament is set to pass a legislative package that would ban all “gay propaganda,” signaling an even more difficult period for a stigmatized segment of society.

Around the world

We also recommend

Thanks for reading. I’ll be back Monday. — Carole

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